The assessment used DNV’s ‘Climate change impact on energy production’ service to deliver asset-level projections over 10, 20 and 30 years. The forecasts help guide operations and investment decisions by indicating how wind and solar conditions may change compared with historical trends.
Protecting solar plants in extreme weather
Renewable generation depends on weather, and climate change is already shifting wind, temperature and irradiance patterns, increasing the need for asset owners, lenders and investors to test assumptions, assess uncertainty and identify where risks are most likely to emerge.
Combine energy modelling with climate science
DNV brings together climate science and energy modelling to estimate how future conditions may affect energy output across assets. Its scenarios point to regional variation and differing site sensitivity under changing conditions. The results show that even where trends are clear, impacts can differ significantly between locations, underlining the need for site level analysis when assessing performance and risk.
Resilient solar – weather intelligence for an era of extremes
“By integrating climate projections into the same analytical framework as production modelling, this work allows us to quantify uncertainty and identify where the largest changes may occur across a portfolio, giving investors and operators the confidence to make long-term decisions on performance, maintenance and system-wide resilience,” said Brice Le Gallo, Vice-president and regional director for Southern Europe, MEA & LATAM, Energy Systems at DNV. (hcn)